Wednesday, November 23, 2005

Red States

According to recent polls taken of Bush's approval rating only three states gave Bush over 50%, Utah, Idaho and Wyoming. And 60% percent of the public believe that starting the Iraq war was wrong. They believe they were mislead by Bush/Cheney and administration. Translation, they lied and thousands died.

Where have all the Red States gone, long time passing
Where have all the Red States gone, long long time ago
Where have all the Red States gone, gone to see them everyone one
When will they ever learn?
When will they ever learn?

Fallacies

Following is a list of 10 lies the administration keep trying to pass off on the public.

1. VIRTUALLY EVERYONE WHO SAW THE INTELLIGENCE BELIEVED SADDAM HAD WMD, THEREFORE BUSH IS BEING UNFAIRLY SINGLED OUT FOR CRITICISM

The typical framing is: "Democrats got the same intelligence and reached the same conclusion, so blaming Bush for misleading America is purely political." The argument is also presented in 'gotcha' form by people like Sean Hannity, who use a lengthy blind quote about the threat posed by Saddam that turns out to be from Bill Clinton, John Kerry or some other Democrat. The conclusion is that if Bush was lying, they must have been lying too.

There is a false assumption underlying this argument, namely that Dems received the same intel as Bush (they didn't), but setting that aside, here are two reasons why this is a straw man:

a) The issue is not whether people believed Saddam had WMD (many did), or whether there was any evidence that he had WMD (there was), it's the fact that Bush and his administration made an absolute, unconditional case with the evidence at hand, brooking no dissent and dismissing doubters inside and outside the government as cowardly or treasonous. That's what "manipulating the intelligence" and "misleading the public" refers to, the knowing exaggeration of the case for war (whether by cherry-picking intel or using defunct intel or by speaking about ambiguous intel in alarming absolutes). As I wrote in this post: "There we were, more than a decade after the first gulf war, two years after 9/11, and Saddam hadn’t attacked us, he hadn’t threatened to attack us. And then suddenly, he was the biggest threat to America. A threat that required a massive invasion. A bigger threat than Saudi Arabia, North Korea, Iran, Bin Laden. A HUGE, IMMEDIATE threat. It simply defied belief."

b) In addition to the fear-mongering described above, the contention that Bush 'misled' the public is not simply about Saddam's WMD, but about the way the administration stormed ahead with their plans and invaded Iraq in the way they did, at the time they did, with the Pollyannaish visions they fed the world, all the while demonizing dissent and smearing their critics.

In both (a) and (b), the crux of the issue is proportionality. Whether or not Bill Clinton or France or the U.N. believed Saddam was a threat, the administration's apocalyptic words and drastic actions (preemptively invading a sovereign nation) were decidedly out of proportion to the level and immediacy of the threat. THAT is the issue.

2. AFTER 9/11, WE CAN'T WAIT FOR THE THREAT TO MATERIALIZE BEFORE TAKING ACTION

This is often used as a counterpoint to the notion that Bush overhyped the rationale for war. It's a vacuous argument whose logic implies we should invade a half-dozen African countries as well as North Korea, China, Iran, and Saudi Arabia. Every day that goes by that Bush allows these threats to "materialize," he is failing in his duties to protect the American public and should be impeached. And if the pushback is that North Korea and others are being dealt with diplomatically, isn't that exactly the approach this argument purports to refute?

Furthermore, the war's opponents never claimed they'd prefer to "wait" for threats to materialize. This is another straw man. Nobody wants to wait for threats to materialize; they just want to deal with them differently.

3. DEMOCRATS "VOTED FOR" AND THUS "SUPPORTED" THE WAR

The Iraq War Resolution (IWR) debate has been flogged to death, so there's no need to fully resurrect it here. Suffice it to say that:

a) Many elected Democrats did NOT vote in favor of the resolution. Not to mention the millions of rank and filers who marched down the streets of our cities and were largely ignored by the press and brushed off by Bush. So to say, generically, that Democrats "supported the war" or to imply that there was tepid resistance to it, is false.

b) No matter how many people contest this point, a vote to give Bush authority WAS NOT a vote "for war." Bush also had the authority NOT to invade. Since Republicans are so fond of quoting John Kerry in support of the case for WMD, here are his words on the floor of the Senate the day of the Iraq War Resolution vote.

"In giving the President this authority, I expect him to fulfill the commitments he has made to the American people in recent days--to work with the United Nations Security Council to adopt a new resolution setting out tough and immediate inspection requirements, and to act with our allies at our side if we have to disarm Saddam Hussein by force. If he fails to do so, I will be among the first to speak out.

"If we do wind up going to war with Iraq, it is imperative that we do so with others in the international community, unless there is a showing of a grave, imminent--and I emphasize "imminent''--threat to this country which requires the President to respond in a way that protects our immediate national security needs.

"Prime Minister Tony Blair has recognized a similar need to distinguish how we approach this. He has said that he believes we should move in concert with allies, and he has promised his own party that he will not do so otherwise. The administration may not be in the habit of building coalitions, but that is what they need to do. And it is what can be done. If we go it alone without reason, we risk inflaming an entire region, breeding a new generation of terrorists, a new cadre of anti-American zealots, and we will be less secure, not more secure, at the end of the day, even with Saddam Hussein disarmed.

"Let there be no doubt or confusion about where we stand on this. I will support a multilateral effort to disarm him by force, if we ever exhaust those other options, as the President has promised, but I will not support a unilateral U.S. war against Iraq unless that threat is imminent and the multilateral effort has not proven possible under any circumstances."

Not exactly an endorsement of Bush's approach or a vote "for war." And a good retort to those who argue that Democrats are "rewriting history."

4. TALK OF WITHDRAWAL "SENDS THE WRONG MESSAGE" AND "EMBOLDENS THE ENEMY"

To borrow Samuel Johnson's immortal words, this argument, like (false) patriotism, is the "last refuge of scoundrels." Implying that opposing views are treasonous is the surest way to stifle dissent.

And it's a cheap way to avoid confronting hard questions. Such as: Does anyone seriously believe that Bush's course of action in Iraq has intimidated or deterred the enemy? Doesn't the fact that the insurgency is as strong as ever "embolden" the enemy?

The sobering truth is that there are dozens of recent events and actions that 'embolden the enemy' far more than advocating a disciplined, phased redeployment. Torture of detainees, the use of white phosphorus as an offensive weapon, the curtailing of civil liberties at home, the shameful abandonment of American citizens in the aftermath of Katrina, the cynical outing of CIA agents, the smearing of war critics as traitors, these are far more encouraging to America's enemies. If we are truly engaged in a clash of civilizations, an epic battle against "Islamofascism," then our enemies are far more interested in the destruction of those things that are quintessentially American and that give us the moral high ground (freedom of speech, adherence to international law, upholding ethical norms and standards, respect for human rights, etc.) than strategic redeployment in Iraq.

5. A WITHDRAWAL FROM IRAQ WOULD HAVE CATASTROPHIC CONSEQUENCES

If I learned anything from living in Beirut, it's that predicting the outcome of sectarian divisions in the Middle East is a fool's game. The shifting alliances, the internal pressures, the regional influences, make it next to impossible to say whether or not the removal of American forces would further destabilize Iraq.

It's also grimly amusing that we're expected to believe the prognostications of the very people who told us we'd be greeted as liberators.

For every foreign policy expert who says that Iraq will be worse off without U.S. troops, there's another who will tell you the exact opposite is true. In the absence of any sound predictive capabilities, the endgame should be based on the opening: i.e. the sooner you end something that started out wrong and has had terrible consequences, the better.

For those who counter with the Pottery Barn rule (we broke it we should fix it), the question is: What's the statute of limitations on that rule? What if we can't fix what's broken in Iraq? Is there a point at which we acknowledge we can't fix it and stop trying? Is our attempt to 'fix' Iraq breaking it even further? Also, are there other things we've broken that we're obliged to fix before we try to fix Iraq? Is there a reason our limited resources should go to fixing Iraq and not saving poor, sick, and hungry children in America?

6. WITHDRAWING FROM IRAQ IS TANTAMOUNT TO "CUTTING & RUNNING"

Any talk of withdrawal, redeployment or a change in course is characterized as "cutting and running." This word-play is so disingenuous that it hardly merits a rebuttal, but the best response to the notion that a war hero like John Kerry or John Murtha wants to "cut and run" is Murtha's response to Cheney: "I like guys who've never been there that criticize us who've been there. I like that. I like guys who got five deferments and never been there and send people to war, and then don't like to hear suggestions about what needs to be done."

A phased withdrawal is just that, a phased withdrawal. And a timetable is just that, a timetable. Using politically-charged buzzwords won't change the fact that the present course of action is untenable. It is the height of folly to continue on a tragic and deadly path just to save face. And as we pointed out in #3, enough has been done to "embolden the enemy" that leaving Iraq will have little effect in that regard.

For those who think continuing with the current policy in Iraq is a mark of courage and changing direction the mark of cowardice, they should bear in mind that courage tempered by wisdom is noble, courage in defiance of wisdom is foolhardy.

7. WE'RE FIGHTING THEM 'THERE' SO WE DON'T HAVE TO FIGHT THEM HERE

No matter how many times reality intrudes on this fantasy, it's still one of the favored arguments by the war's supporters. And it was repeated more than once in the House debate.

This is yet another straw man: we all agree that it's better to fight our enemies somewhere other than on the streets of America. The problem with the "fight them there" approach is that:

a) Iraq wasn't "there" until AFTER the invasion. (In spite of the mental contortions of Bush apologists who insist there was a substantive Saddam-Qaeda connection.)

b) Our policy in Iraq is creating more of "them."

c) "There" is where "them" (Bin Laden and his cohorts) are. And it ain't Iraq.

A corollary to this argument is that Iraq is the "central front in the war on terror" and we can't defeat the terrorists if we don't fight them there. That's like walking into someone's house, breaking an expensive vase, and claiming you have to move in because your job is to clean up broken vases and as long as vases are being broken, you have to be there to clean up the mess. Arguments don't get more circular than this...

And if remaining in Iraq is really about Bush's resolve to defend America against our enemies by keeping them away from the mainland, let's not forget what Katrina's aftermath tells us about how well this administration is preparing for domestic threats. Imagine the holes in domestic security that could be plugged with the toil and treasure being spent in Iraq.

8. DEMOCRATS DON'T HAVE A PLAN FOR IRAQ, THEY'RE JUST ATTACKING BUSH TO SCORE POLITICAL POINTS

Democrats deserve legitimate criticism for their approach to Iraq, but when the Republican Party controls all branches of government, attacking Dems for conflicting positions and a confused message shouldn't be a catch-all excuse for Republican mistakes and lies.

Saying Democrats are muddled on Iraq is a favorite media distraction. But the response is simple: if Bush's policy is to "stay the course," the Democratic policy - whether we accept Murtha's approach or Feingold's or Kerry's - is to "change the course." Simple enough. Changing positions in light of new evidence and new circumstances is the sign of a mature and rational mind. Stubbornly clinging to a failed course of action is not.

It's fascinating how Democrats are always the ones held to account for their Iraq vote, but not Republicans. The question constantly put to Dems, "you voted for it, now you're against it," has a straightforward answer, as phrased by a Democratic senator: "we authorized Bush to put the bullet in the gun, not to shoot us in the foot." We've been shot in the foot by the administration's Iraq policy. Democrats are rightfully reacting to that. The real question - to Republicans - is this: "You voted for this war based on Saddam's threat to America. The threat never materialized. Was your decision wrong? And does your lockstep allegiance to Bush's failed policy make you personally responsible for further deaths beyond the 2000+ American troops who have already given their lives?"

9. HISTORY WILL VINDICATE BUSH

The infinite time horizon is an easy cop out for supporters of the Iraq war. I wrote this in August: "The problem with the Bush apologists' reasoning is that using an infinite time horizon - which they are so fond of - virtually any action, no matter how egregious, can be shown to lead to some positive results. It’s the bastardization of utilitarianism; asserting a causal relationship between a pre-emptive invasion of a sovereign nation and all future good developments in Iraq and the Middle East may swell the hawks' breasts with pride, but it's a dubious and dangerous way to conduct foreign policy. Which is precisely why we need to adhere so strictly to the rule of law, to basic moral precepts, and to established principles of international relations, something that this administration has failed to do, and that the administration's supporters can dance around but can't justify."

10. ISN'T IT A GOOD THING THAT SADDAM IS GONE?

This is the ultimate fall-back for supporters of this disastrous war. Somber references to mass graves, Saddam gassing his people, liberating the Iraqis from a dictator, spreading freedom, etc., are second only to flag-waving and bumper-sticker "support" for the troops when it comes to feel-good justifications for the fiasco in Iraq.

To human rights activists, this faux-bleeding heart conservatism rings hollow. Considering the unremitting suffering and killing and violence and abuse of innocents that takes place on this planet, it is intellectually dishonest to resort to a retroactive humanitarian rationalization for a war that was ostensibly defensive in nature. Especially when we callously ignore the plight of so many others who suffer in silence.

If the trump card question is "don’t you think it's good that Saddam is gone?" then one rhetorical question can be met with another:

Isn't it terrible that we've done nothing to stop the slaughter in Darfur?
Isn't it terrible that Iraq is still a killing field and now a terrorist breeding ground?
Isn't it terrible that a nuclear armed Kim Jong Il is still in power?
Isn't it terrible that the hundreds of billions of dollars spent in Iraq could have saved millions of starving children instead of killing tens of thousands of Americans and Iraqis?

And so on...


Get the idea?

Monday, November 21, 2005

Attack

Well, I knew it was going to happen. Some hypocritical chicken-hawk Repu like Cheney attacking some of our real military heros. John Murtha, a 36 year Marine and veteran of two wars was called a coward by the repus. Cheney and others like bush and assorted other administration clowns that have never put on the uniform and gone to war have the gall to question a true patriot. Their true colors showed through loud and clear. As they typically do, right-wingers attack anyone who questions their policies. They swift boated Murtha just like they did against Kerry. I would like to see these real veterans kick some right-wing butt right in the seat of the U.S. Capital and on the Capital Mall. I believe the public is starting to see the empty suits the repus really are. They talk a good game and try to discredit anyone who questions them but they can't walk the walk themselves. They are the modern day version of McCarthy's attacks against Communism in the fifties. They have been exposed for the frauds that they really are. Seize the day men and go for the jugular of all these hypocrite neocons. It is long overdue. This country needs to purge itself of all these right-wingers and get America back on track with reasonable policies.

Friday, November 18, 2005

Bail Out

It occurred to me that with all the pressure and political reality coming home to roost on this administration for their lies that they may revert to their standby stragedy of destroying anyone who they see as a threat. Back in the ninties it was their hatred of Clinton which caused them to use any means neccessary to bring him down. He had beaten them twice and was on top of the world politically. The economy was the best it had been in the last century and the stock market was even higher than it is today. The repubs decided to try and dig up any dirt on Clinton by putting a partisan hack in charge of investigating Whitewater. When they finally realized that it was an empty hole and that they couldn't bye off enough people to find him guilty of anything that pervert Ken Starr resorted to looking into his personal sex life. They even had the gall to impeach him for lying about his sex life. If that is the precedent for impeachment in todays partisan world I believe that we need to get ready for another sex witch hunt. Their typical mode of operation when being exposed for their lies by someone courageous enough to speak the truth about their treasoneous actions, they attack with full force. It has happened again and again with much success. Rove, Cheney and Bush are masters at this game but I think the public is starting to see through the B.S. That is why we need to brace for their attack on Independent Counsel Patrick Fitzgerald. I heard that they have discovered Mr. Fitzgerald rented an X-rated DVD and now some cheeto's and semen have been found on tissue in his trash can. Get ready for the religious right, hypocritical moralizer repubs and right-wing radio / Fox TV to try and impeach him. It worked for Clinton, why not Fitz? It's good that we have honesty and decency back in the White House isn't it?

Monday, November 14, 2005

Typical

I would like to respond to the recent letter submitted by Mr. Fulkerson. It seems from his paranoid rantings about terrorists and Muslims that he has the same inane hysteria many other right-wing zealots suffer from. They view the world of politics and religion through the eyes of their sheltered existence. Their simple minded opinions show just how diluted their opinions truly are. This can be explained by the fact that they are under the illusion that all Muslims are terrorists and the West bares no responsibility for their grievances. I recall the British making these same claims when our founders were rebelling and fighting by using dirty guerrilla warfare rather than “fighting like men out in the open.” Only fools will fight against a superior force in a manner they know they have no chance of winning against; thus the creation of suicide bombers. Based on all the lies used to get us involved in this needless war we have no room to point fingers at Saddam. Iraq did not attack us on 911; Bin Laden and al-Qaida did. Republican right-wing neocon reactionaries are under the simplistic illusion that everything would be fine if we just eliminated all Muslims. That ignorant view could only come as a result of too much unfair and unbalanced right-wing neocon media propaganda. We need new leadership which will not lie to us and the world about what America stands for. It is obvious that the present administration has no clue.

Wednesday, November 02, 2005

Affirmative Action for Baptists

The S.C. will have a majority Catholic makeup when Alito is confirmed. Long live the Catholics. 5 out of 9 justices will be Catholic when Alito is confirmed. We will all be following the Pope soon. School vouchers, abortion, euthanasia, church and state, and on and on. Maybe Mother Mary on the dollar bill or on the wall in public schools. I can't wait. They will finally get everything they have wanted. When the Baptists joined with them twenty five years ago it was just a matter of time before this happened. No religious freedom any longer. The Repus put them where they are. Thanks to Reagan for Scalia, Bush for Clarence Thomas and "w" for Roberts and Alito. You can just say thank you and be on your way. The founders never dreamed this would happen. We were founded by Protestants not Catholics.

There are really only two viable parties. A vote for any other is just wasted. I used to like McCain but he is the same as the rest of the repus now. Scared of the religious right. I certainly don't agree with all that the demos do. They are the lesser of two evils but they usually come down on the side of personal freedom and more for the middle class. I feel the Dems will do less harm than the treasonous and greedy Repus.

Tuesday, November 01, 2005

Majority

When Alito gets on the Supreme Court it will be the first time ever that Catholics are a majority in the Court. My how far we have come since the 50's. I guess the Pope will dictate U.S. policy and judgements. The Theocracy just keeps getting closer and closer.

Hey, if Harriot Miers was the best candidate in the country for SC justice as "w" kept saying over and over then I guess Alito is pretty weak.